§ 1983 Target Map

Likelihood ≥ 1 Stakes Level Claim Sourcing

WeakerStronger

Best opportunities

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Research aid, not legal advice. Confirm every citation before relying on it.

Method

Strength: Likelihood × stakes ÷ effort, on a 0.2–15 scale: strong 7.5+, good 4+, fair 2+.
Likelihood: 1–5: chance a § 1983 suit filed now wins under controlling precedent in that circuit.
Stakes: Low, medium or high: reach of the law and value of a win.
Effort: 1–5: 1 is a clean case on settled law; 5 means heavy facts, a hostile circuit, standing trouble or Tax Injunction Act limits.
Best opportunities: Laws not yet struck with likelihood 3 or more, including those with a case pending.
Verified: Statute text and the opinion or docket were read.
Tax sale: 28 U.S.C. § 1341 and comity can bar a federal forum; Pung v. Isabella County, 609 U.S. 30 (2026), measures just compensation by the sale surplus.